Lineup Takeaways: Breaking down the St. Louis Cardinals lineup trends, Joc Pederson’s hot start, and more

Mike Kurland discusses the early lineup trends, production, and other key information of the St. Louis Cardinals that we should keep an eye on.

Welcome to the daily Monday through Friday article where we discuss all things lineups playing time, platoons, and production trends.

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Lineup Takeaways

I had to call an audible here. I decided the only way for this section to remain relevant daily is better to break down a full team’s lineup trends instead of picking separate individual trends. This article is a new concept so of course, there are growing pains. Let’s get to it.

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Tommy Edman has led off two straight. One was with Tyler O’Neill out where they slotted Dylan Carlson into the 3-spot and Edman led off. The other was against an LHP which Edman crushes. He has deserved a shot to reclaim the leadoff spot with his early-season success so if this sticks full time moving forward (or until he slows down) no one should be surprised.
  • The DH spot has been an alternating mess of sorts. With facing so many LHP you have seen Albert Pujols DH against every LHP (four total) but he has faced three RHP as well. Corey Dickerson has started against six of the 10 RHP they have faced and Lars Nootbaar has started just once. More times than not it will be Dickerson starting against RHP and Pujols facing LHP but it is ultimately a situation to avoid for fantasy purposes.
  • Andrew Knizner has started in six of the team’s 14 games so far. This is more rest than usual for Yadier Molina in the process but the team has openly stated they plan to rest Molina a bit more to ensure health during the season. So those at-bats you expected from Molina might be less than we have come to expect this year.
  • There have not been many people starting hotter than Nolan Arenado. Batting cleanup every day while hitting .364/.426/.727 and five home runs on the season.
  • Paul DeJong has two stolen bases and a home run but batting just .139 with a .262 OBP while striking out 35.7% of the time. You have to wonder how long the leash will be. Considering Edmundo Sosa has started the last two of three at shortstop it might already be trending out of his favor.
  • Paul Goldschmidt coming to life over the last week. Batting .346/.370/.462 over this span with an SB and 4 RBI. The power will come eventually.

We’re Going Streaking

Now that we finally are getting samples it is time to focus on seven-to-fourteen day windows to try and capture hot and cold streaks as they are occurring or about to occur.

Joc Pederson, OF, San Francisco Giants

A very hot run over the last week as he hit three home runs with six RBI and five runs. He struck out just 8.7% of the time and hit .364/.348/.864 over this span as well. He gets a chance to continue this hot run against five more RHP this week. With them coming in mostly favorable matchups against the Nationals and Athletics.

Adalberto Mondesi, SS/3B, Kansas City, Royals

The five stolen bases are great. He is playing every day. That is where the positives end. Striking out 39.2% of the time while hitting just .125/.176/.125 is less than desirable. He is hurting you more than helping right now considering the draft capital it took to roster him on your fantasy teams. A 33.6% O-Swing% paired with a lackluster 31.6% O-Contact rate isn’t doing him any favors. Not to mention the 21.5% SwStr% to this point as well.

Joey Gallo, OF, New York Yankees

Gallo can be as streaky as anyone but he has been horrendous to start the year. The only stats he has put up are one RBI and one run. No home runs and no stolen bases. This comes with a 40% strikeout rate and hitting just .146. You knew the streakiness would be part of Gallo’s game but this is a terrible stretch that makes him a bench in most leagues and droppable in shallower formats.

On The Peripheral

J.P. Crawford, SS, Seattle Mariners

He plays every day for this team and has been moving up the lineup, J.P. Crawford deserves some attention. Over the last week, he has played in six games with two home runs with seven RBI. He is hitting .348/.429/.739 and runs hot at times. This could just be that but while he is running hot and hitting in the middle of the order he has fantasy relevance.

Notable Injuries and Lineup Fallout

We will break down the most notable injuries from the day prior and discuss those who gain from the increased opportunity.

Eloy Jimenez is expected to miss 6-8 weeks with a hamstring injury.

This should benefit Andrew Vaughn and Gavin Sheets. Both have been productive and both should get playing time with the injuries piling up for this team.

Extra Innings

Just a final section of added tidbits I want to throw in about anything I think is interesting or of note.

Tylor Megill, SP, New York Mets

Although the velocity is still up overall it has been down the last two starts compared to the first two starts of the year. The first two starts yielded a 0.00 ERA, 0.96 FIP and a 1.83 xFIP over a scoreless 10 innings. With the velocity drop the ERA is 4.26 with a 4.11 FIP and a 3.39 xFIP. It is worth monitoring how this plays out. The velocity ticked back up on average in his last start so it is too early to suggest the first couple starts were fool’s gold by any means.

We hope you enjoy this new daily concept. If you have questions please follow and reach out on Twitter. You can reach me @Mike_Kurland.

If you want a daily write up of the lineup trends in a team-by-team format, a weekly schedule trends chart, a position eligibility watch chart, and more check us out on Patreon. We offer a few options but the $3 Tier is where you can gain access to all this. Hope to see you there

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