Lineup Takeaways: Breaking down the Atlanta Braves lineup trends, Brad Miller’s streamer appeal, and more

Mike Kurland reacts to Week 1 of the MLB season and the early lineup trends, production, and other key information we should keep an eye on.

Welcome to the daily Monday through Friday article where we discuss all things lineups playing time, platoons, and production trends.

Reminder: The full team-by-team daily lineup notes will be exclusively on the Patreon. We offer a lot of exclusive content over there so feel free to check that out.

Lineup Takeaways

I had to call an audible here. I decided the only way for this section to remain relevant daily is better to break down a full team’s lineup trends instead of picking separate individual trends. This article is a new concept so of course, there are growing pains. Let’s get to it. We will start in the NL East.

Atlanta Braves

Dansby Swanson has played in all 5 of the Braves games to this point. However, he has remained at the bottom of the order and the highest he has hit is 7th. That might seem bad on the surface but in his career, he has only posted a wRC+ of at least 100 from two spots in the order. That is from the 6-spot (career wRC+ of 109) and from the 9-spot (career wRC+ of 100). This could suit him better than we think. However, he has been off to a rough start so far this season hitting .125/.263/.188 with a 52.6% strikeout rate over 19 plate appearances.

Ozzie Albies has been shifting up and down the order. They have faced three RHP and two LHP. Against the three RHP, he has hit 5th in the order and 2nd against both LHP. The lineup is very strong so unless he performs against RHP there is a chance this sticks for longer than we might anticipate. The career splits suggest this move down the order vs RHP is deserved.

Career NumbersPABB%K%BAOPSwOBAwRC+
vs LHP6194.713.9.338.944.396145
vs RHP18387.518.5.249.750.31894
  • Eddie Rosario has been leading off most games against RHP but he is going to be hitting in the bottom half as soon as Ronald Acuna returns. So far this season he is hitting .059 with a .259 OPS.
  • Matt Olson, Austin Riley, and Marcell Ozuna have hit 2nd, 3rd, and 4th respectively every game. All three have come out the gates swinging the bat well.
Matt Olson2123.814.3.5001.432.606311
Austin Riley2114.319.294.958.427184
Marcell Ozuna20510.333.794.345126

We’re Going Streaking

A real original of a name, I know. This is just a spot to highlight a few players who are running hot or cold. The data is limited but we will try to take note of the standouts just a few games in. Remember, it is still very early so we cannot overreact to anything we are seeing. We simply note it and monitor things from here.

  • Akil Baddoo continues to struggle. He is hitless in his nine plate appearances and has struck out in four of them. He has been moved to the bottom of the order they even pinch-hit for him in the last game. The playing time is becoming a question and the leash appears short. This is a player to monitor closely. 
  • Cedric Mullins has had a rough start to the season. He has struck out 50% of the time so far and is hitting just .188. He did get a stolen base so at least he is running. Expect better days moving forward. 
  • Byron Buxton is a man on fire. He is currently leading the league in home runs with three, has stolen a base, and continues to crush the ball overall. He is locked in. 
  • Connor Joe is here to stay. Well, it is the Rockies so we shall see but early on Joe has a stolen base and two home runs across his 19 plate appearances. It comes with a .313/.421/.688 triple slash and strong plate discipline numbers. 

On The Peripheral

This is simply a spot to drop a name or two that could provide value or be relevant in general in deeper formats. This will have an emphasis on playing time

Brad Miller, OF, Texas Rangers

Brad Miller plays just about every game. When he is starting it is against RHP – and leading off – and when he sits he ends up coming in the pinch-hit against an RHP. He hit RHP well last season and is off to a strong start in 2022. He’s hitting .333 with two home runs and a 1.274 OPS to start the season. Worthy of rostering in leagues with 15 teams or more. Here is how he hit against RHP in 2021.

  • 16 home runs
  • BA: .244
  • OPS: .842
  • ISO: .244
  • wOBA: .359
  • wRC+: 123

The production and playing time against RHP is not a fluke.

Notable Injuries and Lineup Fallout

We will break down the most notable injuries from the day prior and discuss those who gain from the increased opportunity.

Danny Jansen was placed on the 10-day IL with an oblique strain. Those can linger so we shall see when the return occurs but this helps Alejandro Kirk and he instantly becomes one of the better catchers in fantasy due to the improved path to playing time. He has one of the better bats from the catcher position.

Nothing is officially announced but here are two plays that resulted in players remaining in the game but in obvious discomfort at one point on camera. Could lead to a day or two off.

Bryce Harper was caught shaking his arm and grimacing a little bit after making this throw.

Teoscar Hernandez had a similar look and action to his stinger in the outfield but he too remained in the game.

Extra Innings

Just a final section of added tidbits I want to throw in about anything I think is interesting or of note.

Hunter Greene utilized a three pitch mix and all were utilized at least 14%. Overall he had a 34% whiff rate in his start against the Braves. Greene posted a 32% whiff rate on 4-seam which he threw 61% of the time. He topped 100 MPH multiple times while sitting at 99.7 on average on the 4-seam. The slider was also effective with a 45% whiff rate and a 39% CSW. A lot of upside here.

We hope you enjoy this new daily concept. If you have questions please follow and reach out on Twitter. You can reach me @Mike_Kurland.

If you want a daily write up of the lineup trends in a team-by-team format, a weekly schedule trends chart, a daily position eligibility watch chart, and more check us out on Patreon. We offer a few options but the $3 Tier is where you can gain access to all this. Hope to see you there

Leave a Reply

%d bloggers like this: